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Compare Napredak vs Estrela

Napredak vs Estrela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Napredak vs Estrela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Napredak Napredak Home Team
Estrela Estrela Away Team
Napredak
25.8
W L L L L L L L D L

Last 10 Matches

Estrela
39.2
D L L L L L W L D D

Categories Won

2

Napredak

4

Draw

9

Estrela

Performance Radar

Napredak
Estrela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 1D, 8L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.4

24 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-16

-16

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
N. Bogdanovski (2 goals)
Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
41.4

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 55.5

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.82

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.02

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating
25.8

Attack: 24.4, Defense: 18.3, Form: 9.1

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2

16-30'

1

31-45'

2
2

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

2
Napredak
Estrela
Napredak

Power Rating Breakdown

25.8

Overall

Attack 24.4
Defense 18.3
Form 9.1
Consistency 74.8
Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4
Defense 58.4
Form 10.3
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

55.5 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Napredak logo Napredak
W
Spartak (33%)
L
Radnički Niš (44%)
L
Javor (56%)
L
FK IMT (58%)
L
TSC (60%)
L
Mladost Lučani (53%)
L
TSC (56%)
L
Vojvodina (68%)
Estrela logo Estrela
D
Famalicão (69%)
L
Moreirense (55%)
L
Porto (69%)
L
Arouca (62%)
L
Sporting (70%)
L
Nacional (57%)
W
Casa Pia (48%)
L
Rio Ave (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Spartak A
3 - 0 W
33%
Radnički Niš H
0 - 1 L
44%
Javor A
0 - 4 L
56%
FK IMT H
0 - 1 L
58%
TSC A
1 - 4 L
60%
Mladost Lučani A
0 - 2 L
53%
TSC H
1 - 2 L
56%
Vojvodina A
1 - 4 L
68%
OFK H
2 - 2 D
53%
Red Star A
0 - 4 L
74%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Famalicão H
0 - 0 D
69%
Moreirense A
2 - 3 L
55%
Porto H
1 - 2 L
69%
Arouca A
0 - 1 L
62%
Sporting H
0 - 1 L
70%
Nacional A
0 - 2 L
57%
Casa Pia H
4 - 0 W
48%
Rio Ave A
1 - 2 L
66%
Gil Vicente H
2 - 2 D
55%
AVS A
0 - 0 D
64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Estrela has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 53.1) compared to Napredak (SoS: 41.4). This means Estrela's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Napredak averaging 0.8 and Estrela averaging 1.0 goals per match.

Defensively, Estrela is far superior, conceding just 1.3 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Napredak leaks 2.4 per match.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Estrela has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.4 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Napredak

Napredak

VS
Estrela

Estrela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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