Compare Paris SG vs Estrela

Paris SG vs Estrela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Paris SG vs Estrela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Paris SG Home Team

Estrela Away Team

Paris SG

83.2

W D D W W W L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Estrela

39.2

D L L L L L W L D D

Categories Won

Paris SG

Draw

Estrela

Performance Radar

Paris SG

Estrela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

70%

7W, 2D, 1L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match

2.3

23 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

+13

-3

Clean Sheet

50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

O. Dembélé (7 goals)

Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 11

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5

Home Win Rate

71%

5W / 7 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

67%

2W / 3 matches

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

71.4

League Difficulty: 90.4, Opponent Quality: 64.9

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

50%

1W / 2 matches

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

2.85

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.55

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating

83.2

Attack: 93.1, Defense: 80.9, Form: 85.0

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Paris SG

Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

83.2

Overall

Attack 93.1

Defense 80.9

Form 85.0

Consistency 63.7

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4

Defense 58.4

Form 10.3

Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

90.4 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

64.9 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%

Paris SG

Estrela

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Brest H

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

56%

Bayern Munich A

UEFA Champions League

1 - 1 D

88%

Lorient H

French Ligue 1

2 - 2 D

64%

Bayern Munich H

UEFA Champions League

5 - 4 W

83%

Angers A

French Ligue 1

3 - 0 W

52%

Nantes H

French Ligue 1

3 - 0 W

51%

Lyon H

French Ligue 1

1 - 2 L

65%

Liverpool A

UEFA Champions League

2 - 0 W

69%

Liverpool H

UEFA Champions League

2 - 0 W

64%

Toulouse H

French Ligue 1

3 - 1 W

57%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Famalicão H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

69%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 3 L

55%

Porto H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

69%

Arouca A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

62%

Sporting H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

70%

Nacional A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

57%

Casa Pia H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

4 - 0 W

48%

Rio Ave A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

66%

Gil Vicente H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

55%

AVS A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Paris SG has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 71.4) compared to Estrela (SoS: 53.1). This means Paris SG's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Paris SG's attack is on another level, averaging 2.3 goals per match with O. Dembélé leading the charge with 7 goals. Estrela manages just 1.0 per match.

Paris SG has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Estrela's 1.3.

Paris SG is a strong road team with a 67% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Paris SG is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (93.1), defense (80.9), and form (85.0) leaves little room for doubt. Estrela will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Paris SG

Estrela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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