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Compare Rayo vs AEK Athens

Rayo vs AEK Athens Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rayo vs AEK Athens: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rayo Rayo Home Team
AEK Athens AEK Athens Away Team
Rayo
65.9
D W W W D W L L W W

Last 10 Matches

AEK Athens
66.5
W D W W L W W L D W

Categories Won

4

Rayo

4

Draw

7

AEK Athens

Performance Radar

Rayo
AEK Athens

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Alemão (4 goals)
Zine (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.3

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

59.8

League Difficulty: 64.8, Opponent Quality: 61.0

Elite Opponent Record
50%

2W / 4 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

1.89

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.09

Adjusted Power Rating
65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.5, Form: 71.6

66.5

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 76.9, Form: 65.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4
1

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

4
3

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

4
4

76-90+'

2
Rayo
AEK Athens
Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7
Defense 79.5
Form 71.6
Consistency 52.0
AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 65.9
Defense 76.9
Form 65.9
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.0 vs 64.8

Opponent Quality

63.0 vs 61.0

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 50%
Rayo logo Rayo
D
Girona (59%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
W
Getafe (72%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
D
Real Sociedad (61%)
W
Espanyol (50%)
L
AEK Athens (75%)
L
Mallorca (73%)
AEK Athens logo AEK Athens
W
Panathinaikos (52%)
D
Panathinaikos (57%)
W
PAOK (54%)
W
Rayo (68%)
L
Rayo (73%)
W
Olympiakos (61%)
W
Kifisia (49%)
L
Celje (67%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Girona H
1 - 1 D
59%
Strasbourg A
1 - 0 W
57%
Getafe A
2 - 0 W
72%
Strasbourg H
1 - 0 W
52%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 3 D
61%
Espanyol H
1 - 0 W
50%
AEK Athens A
1 - 3 L
75%
Mallorca A
0 - 3 L
73%
AEK Athens H
3 - 0 W
70%
Elche H
1 - 0 W
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Panathinaikos H
2 - 1 W
52%
Panathinaikos A
0 - 0 D
57%
PAOK H
3 - 0 W
54%
Rayo H
3 - 1 W
68%
Rayo A
0 - 3 L
73%
Olympiakos A
1 - 0 W
61%
Kifisia H
3 - 0 W
49%
Celje H
0 - 2 L
67%
Atromitos A
2 - 2 D
59%
Celje A
4 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.3 vs 59.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

AEK Athens holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Rayo's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Rayo conceding 1.0 and AEK Athens conceding 0.9 per match.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

The home advantage factor favors AEK Athens, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent UEFA Conference League encounter (2026-04-16), AEK Athens came out on top with a 3-1 victory over Rayo. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. AEK Athens secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Rayo will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. AEK Athens will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent UEFA Conference League encounter (2026-04-09), Rayo came out on top with a 3-0 victory over AEK Athens. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Rayo secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Rayo completely dominated AEK Athens in that encounter, raising serious questions about AEK Athens's ability to compete at this level. AEK Athens will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Rayo will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rayo

Rayo

VS
AEK Athens

AEK Athens

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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