Compare Rayo vs Mechelen

Rayo vs Mechelen Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rayo vs Mechelen: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rayo Home Team

Mechelen Away Team

Rayo

65.9

D W W W D W L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Mechelen

26.6

L W L L L L D L W L

Categories Won

Rayo

Draw

Mechelen

Performance Radar

Rayo

Mechelen

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

20%

2W, 1D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match

1.4

14 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.0

10 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-16

Clean Sheet

60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

30%

3 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

Alemão (4 goals)

B. Boersma (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4

Home Win Rate

67%

4W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

50%

2W / 4 matches

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

69.3

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

44.7

League Difficulty: 59.5, Opponent Quality: 59.6

Elite Opponent Record

50%

2W / 4 matches

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

0.83

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.03

Adjusted Power Rating

65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.5, Form: 71.6

26.6

Attack: 25.3, Defense: 18.9, Form: 18.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Rayo

Mechelen

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7

Defense 79.5

Form 71.6

Consistency 52.0

Power Rating Breakdown

26.6

Overall

Attack 25.3

Defense 18.9

Form 18.9

Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.0 vs 59.5

Opponent Quality

63.0 vs 59.6

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%

Rayo

Mechelen

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Girona H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 1 D

59%

Strasbourg A

UEFA Conference League

1 - 0 W

57%

Getafe A

Spanish La Liga

2 - 0 W

72%

Strasbourg H

UEFA Conference League

1 - 0 W

52%

Real Sociedad H

Spanish La Liga

3 - 3 D

61%

Espanyol H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 0 W

50%

AEK Athens A

UEFA Conference League

1 - 3 L

75%

Mallorca A

Spanish La Liga

0 - 3 L

73%

AEK Athens H

UEFA Conference League

3 - 0 W

70%

Elche H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 0 W

61%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

R. Union SG A

Belgian First Division A

0 - 3 L

69%

Gent H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 0 W

46%

Sint-Truiden H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 4 L

44%

Club Brugge A

Belgian First Division A

1 - 6 L

71%

Anderlecht H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 2 L

35%

R. Union SG H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

0 - 1 L

75%

Gent A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 1 D

63%

Club Brugge A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 4 L

83%

Anderlecht H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 0 W

47%

Gent A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 3 L

63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Rayo has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.3) compared to Mechelen (SoS: 44.7). This means Rayo's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Rayo holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Mechelen's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Rayo is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Mechelen leaks 2.4 per match.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Mechelen has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Rayo is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (55.7), defense (79.5), and form (71.6) leaves little room for doubt. Mechelen will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rayo

Mechelen

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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