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Compare Sporting vs Estrela

Sporting vs Estrela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Sporting vs Estrela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Sporting Sporting Home Team
Estrela Estrela Away Team
Sporting
63.8
W W D D L D W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Estrela
39.2
D L L L L L W L D D

Categories Won

12

Sporting

2

Draw

1

Estrela

Performance Radar

Sporting
Estrela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
2.2

22 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+11

+11

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
L. Suárez (4 goals)
Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 13
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
55.6

League Difficulty: 82.6, Opponent Quality: 64.4

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.39

Actual: 2.2 | Diff: -0.19

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating
63.8

Attack: 77.4, Defense: 66.9, Form: 52.8

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

4

31-45'

2
4

46-60'

2
6

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

2
Sporting
Estrela
Sporting

Power Rating Breakdown

63.8

Overall

Attack 77.4
Defense 66.9
Form 52.8
Consistency 53.2
Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4
Defense 58.4
Form 10.3
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

82.6 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

64.4 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Sporting logo Sporting
W
Rio Ave (66%)
W
Vitória SC (54%)
D
Tondela (52%)
D
AVS (64%)
L
Benfica (75%)
D
Arsenal (77%)
W
Estrela (54%)
L
Arsenal (72%)
Estrela logo Estrela
D
Famalicão (69%)
L
Moreirense (55%)
L
Porto (69%)
L
Arouca (62%)
L
Sporting (70%)
L
Nacional (57%)
W
Casa Pia (48%)
L
Rio Ave (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rio Ave A
4 - 1 W
66%
Vitória SC H
5 - 1 W
54%
Tondela H
2 - 2 D
52%
AVS A
1 - 1 D
64%
Benfica H
1 - 2 L
75%
Arsenal A
0 - 0 D
77%
Estrela A
1 - 0 W
54%
Arsenal H
0 - 1 L
72%
Santa Clara H
4 - 2 W
66%
Alverca A
4 - 1 W
64%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Famalicão H
0 - 0 D
69%
Moreirense A
2 - 3 L
55%
Porto H
1 - 2 L
69%
Arouca A
0 - 1 L
62%
Sporting H
0 - 1 L
70%
Nacional A
0 - 2 L
57%
Casa Pia H
4 - 0 W
48%
Rio Ave A
1 - 2 L
66%
Gil Vicente H
2 - 2 D
55%
AVS A
0 - 0 D
64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 55.6 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Sporting's attack is on another level, averaging 2.2 goals per match with L. Suárez leading the charge with 4 goals. Estrela manages just 1.0 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Sporting conceding 1.1 and Estrela conceding 1.3 per match.

Sporting has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Sporting is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Sporting emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (63.8 vs 39.2) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In their recent Portuguese Primeira Liga match (2026-04-11), Sporting prevailed 0-1 against Estrela. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Sporting achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Estrela shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Estrela will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Sporting will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Sporting

Sporting

VS
Estrela

Estrela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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