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Compare Sturm vs Napredak

Sturm vs Napredak Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Sturm vs Napredak: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Sturm Sturm Home Team
Napredak Napredak Away Team
Sturm
59.4
W D D D D D W D W W

Last 10 Matches

Napredak
25.8
W L L L L L L L D L

Categories Won

12

Sturm

2

Draw

1

Napredak

Performance Radar

Sturm
Napredak

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 6D, 0L

10%

1W, 1D, 8L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

-16

-16

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
O. Kiteishvili (5 goals)
N. Bogdanovski (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.6

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 51.0

41.4

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 55.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.71

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.09

0.82

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
59.4

Attack: 61.6, Defense: 71.8, Form: 41.0

25.8

Attack: 24.4, Defense: 18.3, Form: 9.1

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

31-45'

1
6

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

1
5

76-90+'

3
Sturm
Napredak
Sturm

Power Rating Breakdown

59.4

Overall

Attack 61.6
Defense 71.8
Form 41.0
Consistency 71.2
Napredak

Power Rating Breakdown

25.8

Overall

Attack 24.4
Defense 18.3
Form 9.1
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

51.0 vs 55.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Sturm logo Sturm
W
Hartberg (44%)
D
RB Salzburg (51%)
D
Austria (48%)
D
LASK (64%)
D
LASK (69%)
D
Hartberg (39%)
W
Rapid Vienna (53%)
D
RB Salzburg (46%)
Napredak logo Napredak
W
Spartak (33%)
L
Radnički Niš (44%)
L
Javor (56%)
L
FK IMT (58%)
L
TSC (60%)
L
Mladost Lučani (53%)
L
TSC (56%)
L
Vojvodina (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hartberg A
4 - 2 W
44%
RB Salzburg A
1 - 1 D
51%
Austria H
1 - 1 D
48%
LASK H
1 - 1 D
64%
LASK A
1 - 1 D
69%
Hartberg H
0 - 0 D
39%
Rapid Vienna A
2 - 0 W
53%
RB Salzburg H
1 - 1 D
46%
Austria A
5 - 2 W
53%
Altach H
2 - 0 W
43%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Spartak A
3 - 0 W
33%
Radnički Niš H
0 - 1 L
44%
Javor A
0 - 4 L
56%
FK IMT H
0 - 1 L
58%
TSC A
1 - 4 L
60%
Mladost Lučani A
0 - 2 L
53%
TSC H
1 - 2 L
56%
Vojvodina A
1 - 4 L
68%
OFK H
2 - 2 D
53%
Red Star A
0 - 4 L
74%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Sturm has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 52.6) compared to Napredak (SoS: 41.4). This means Sturm's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Sturm's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with O. Kiteishvili leading the charge with 5 goals. Napredak manages just 0.8 per match.

Defensively, Sturm is far superior, conceding just 0.9 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Napredak leaks 2.4 per match.

Sturm has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Sturm is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Sturm is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (61.6), defense (71.8), and form (41.0) leaves little room for doubt. Napredak will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Sturm

Sturm

VS
Napredak

Napredak

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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