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Compare Thun vs Mechelen

Thun vs Mechelen Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Thun vs Mechelen: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Thun Thun Home Team
Mechelen Mechelen Away Team
Thun
41.3
L L L W L L W W D W

Last 10 Matches

Mechelen
26.6
L W L L L L D L W L

Categories Won

10

Thun

3

Draw

2

Mechelen

Performance Radar

Thun
Mechelen

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

20%

2W, 1D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

-16

-16

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
E. Rastoder (3 goals)
B. Boersma (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
37.3

League Difficulty: 49.0, Opponent Quality: 50.6

44.7

League Difficulty: 59.5, Opponent Quality: 59.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.36

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.24

0.83

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.03

Adjusted Power Rating
41.3

Attack: 46.6, Defense: 43.6, Form: 34.9

26.6

Attack: 25.3, Defense: 18.9, Form: 18.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

2
4

31-45'

4

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

2
Thun
Mechelen
Thun

Power Rating Breakdown

41.3

Overall

Attack 46.6
Defense 43.6
Form 34.9
Consistency 39.7
Mechelen

Power Rating Breakdown

26.6

Overall

Attack 25.3
Defense 18.9
Form 18.9
Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

49.0 vs 59.5

Opponent Quality

50.6 vs 59.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Thun logo Thun
L
Sion (70%)
L
Basel (55%)
L
Lugano (54%)
W
Basel (50%)
L
Lugano (55%)
L
Zürich (37%)
W
GC Zürich (27%)
W
Young Boys (56%)
Mechelen logo Mechelen
L
R. Union SG (69%)
W
Gent (46%)
L
Sint-Truiden (44%)
L
Club Brugge (71%)
L
Anderlecht (35%)
L
R. Union SG (75%)
D
Gent (63%)
L
Club Brugge (83%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sion A
0 - 2 L
70%
Basel A
1 - 3 L
55%
Lugano H
0 - 1 L
54%
Basel H
3 - 1 W
50%
Lugano A
0 - 1 L
55%
Zürich A
1 - 2 L
37%
GC Zürich H
5 - 1 W
27%
Young Boys A
2 - 1 W
56%
St.Gallen H
2 - 2 D
55%
Luzern H
2 - 1 W
47%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
R. Union SG A
0 - 3 L
69%
Gent H
1 - 0 W
46%
Sint-Truiden H
1 - 4 L
44%
Club Brugge A
1 - 6 L
71%
Anderlecht H
1 - 2 L
35%
R. Union SG H
0 - 1 L
75%
Gent A
1 - 1 D
63%
Club Brugge A
1 - 4 L
83%
Anderlecht H
1 - 0 W
47%
Gent A
1 - 3 L
63%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 37.3 vs 44.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Thun holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Mechelen's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Thun is far superior, conceding just 1.5 goals per match with 0 clean sheets, while Mechelen leaks 2.4 per match.

Mechelen has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Thun has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Thun

Thun

VS
Mechelen

Mechelen

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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