Compare Toulouse vs Mechelen

Toulouse vs Mechelen Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Toulouse vs Mechelen: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Toulouse Home Team

Mechelen Away Team

Toulouse

41.6

W W D L L L L W W L

Last 10 Matches

Mechelen

26.6

L W L L L L D L W L

Categories Won

Toulouse

Draw

Mechelen

Performance Radar

Toulouse

Mechelen

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

20%

2W, 1D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match

1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

2.2

22 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-7

-16

Clean Sheet

10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

80%

8 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

Emersonn (3 goals)

B. Boersma (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4

Home Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

56.0

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 66.3

44.7

League Difficulty: 59.5, Opponent Quality: 59.6

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 4 matches

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.94

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.44

0.83

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.03

Adjusted Power Rating

41.6

Attack: 53.0, Defense: 28.3, Form: 42.4

26.6

Attack: 25.3, Defense: 18.9, Form: 18.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Toulouse

Mechelen

Power Rating Breakdown

41.6

Overall

Attack 53.0

Defense 28.3

Form 42.4

Consistency 39.7

Power Rating Breakdown

26.6

Overall

Attack 25.3

Defense 18.9

Form 18.9

Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.9 vs 59.5

Opponent Quality

66.3 vs 59.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%

Toulouse

Mechelen

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Lyon H

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

65%

Strasbourg A

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

60%

Monaco H

French Ligue 1

2 - 2 D

72%

Lens A

Coupe de France

1 - 4 L

60%

Lens A

French Ligue 1

2 - 3 L

76%

Lille H

French Ligue 1

0 - 4 L

73%

Paris SG A

French Ligue 1

1 - 3 L

84%

Lorient H

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

64%

Metz A

French Ligue 1

4 - 3 W

48%

Marseille H

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

61%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

R. Union SG A

Belgian First Division A

0 - 3 L

69%

Gent H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 0 W

46%

Sint-Truiden H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 4 L

44%

Club Brugge A

Belgian First Division A

1 - 6 L

71%

Anderlecht H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 2 L

35%

R. Union SG H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

0 - 1 L

75%

Gent A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 1 D

63%

Club Brugge A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 4 L

83%

Anderlecht H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 0 W

47%

Gent A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 3 L

63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Toulouse has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 56.0) compared to Mechelen (SoS: 44.7). This means Toulouse's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Toulouse holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Mechelen's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Toulouse conceding 2.2 and Mechelen conceding 2.4 per match.

Toulouse has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Mechelen has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.5 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Toulouse emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (41.6 vs 26.6) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Toulouse

Mechelen

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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