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Compare Toulouse vs NEC

Toulouse vs NEC Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Toulouse vs NEC: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Toulouse Toulouse Home Team
NEC NEC Away Team
Toulouse
41.6
W W D L L L L W W L

Last 10 Matches

NEC
56.6
L D D D W D W W L D

Categories Won

3

Toulouse

2

Draw

10

NEC

Performance Radar

Toulouse
NEC

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

30%

3W, 5D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.2

22 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-7

-7

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Emersonn (3 goals)
B. Linssen (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
56.0

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 66.3

67.5

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 65.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 4 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.94

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.44

2.04

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.34

Adjusted Power Rating
41.6

Attack: 53.0, Defense: 28.3, Form: 42.4

56.6

Attack: 66.6, Defense: 66.6, Form: 35.2

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

2

16-30'

4
1

31-45'

3
1

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

3
5

76-90+'

4
Toulouse
NEC
Toulouse

Power Rating Breakdown

41.6

Overall

Attack 53.0
Defense 28.3
Form 42.4
Consistency 39.7
NEC

Power Rating Breakdown

56.6

Overall

Attack 66.6
Defense 66.6
Form 35.2
Consistency 62.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.9 vs 80.0

Opponent Quality

66.3 vs 65.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%
Toulouse logo Toulouse
W
Lyon (65%)
W
Strasbourg (60%)
D
Monaco (72%)
L
Lens (60%)
L
Lens (76%)
L
Lille (73%)
L
Paris SG (84%)
W
Lorient (64%)
NEC logo NEC
L
Groningen (66%)
D
Telstar (64%)
D
Twente (81%)
D
Feyenoord (67%)
W
Excelsior (60%)
D
Heerenveen (67%)
W
PSV (80%)
W
Volendam (49%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lyon H
2 - 1 W
65%
Strasbourg A
2 - 1 W
60%
Monaco H
2 - 2 D
72%
Lens A
1 - 4 L
60%
Lens A
2 - 3 L
76%
Lille H
0 - 4 L
73%
Paris SG A
1 - 3 L
84%
Lorient H
1 - 0 W
64%
Metz A
4 - 3 W
48%
Marseille H
0 - 1 L
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Groningen A
1 - 2 L
66%
Telstar H
1 - 1 D
64%
Twente A
1 - 1 D
81%
Feyenoord H
1 - 1 D
67%
Excelsior A
2 - 0 W
60%
Heerenveen H
2 - 2 D
67%
PSV A
3 - 2 W
80%
Volendam H
3 - 0 W
49%
Fortuna H
2 - 3 L
56%
Ajax A
1 - 1 D
67%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

NEC has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 67.5) compared to Toulouse (SoS: 56.0). This means NEC's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Toulouse averaging 1.5 and NEC averaging 1.7 goals per match.

Defensively, NEC is far superior, conceding just 1.3 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Toulouse leaks 2.2 per match.

Toulouse has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

NEC emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.6 vs 41.6) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Toulouse

Toulouse

VS
NEC

NEC

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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